In a Preston-Osborne polling memo re: the match-up of Clinton, Obama and McCain in Kentucky, CEO Phil Osborne turned his attention to Mitch McConnell and the 2008 U.S. Senate race.
Osborne added in his statement that “if the numbers don’t change between now and November, that could also be a big boost to Sen. McConnell, who is running for re-election.”
In November, Republican Senate Leader Mitch McConnell will face the winner of the May 20 Democratic primary that features seven candidates.
Osborne’s remarks backs up our belief that McConnell will win in November no matter who he faces in the general election. The Obama-Clinton Democratic wave isn’t strong enough to carry a Democratic senate candidate to victory in Kentucky.
24 responses so far ↓
1 3CardNana // Apr 8, 2008 at 4:18 pm
It’s not even strong enough to carry Clinton or Obama to victory in Kentucky.
2 bluegrassredstate // Apr 8, 2008 at 4:57 pm
The wave has already hit high tide, my man.
3 anonymous // Apr 8, 2008 at 6:53 pm
McConnell was a shoo-in even if Horne had stayed in the race.
4 jake // Apr 8, 2008 at 7:01 pm
All right. When did I ever say Andrew would beat McConnell no matter what?
He certainly had a stronger chance than Bruce, Greg or any of the other sorry lot.
5 CW // Apr 8, 2008 at 8:28 pm
Polls show that Democrats will pick up 5 senate seats.
So Mitch will get to stay in Washington as minority leader of a failed party? Mitch, Craig, and Vitter. Fair enough!
6 jake // Apr 8, 2008 at 8:29 pm
And all of Mitch’s money will be spent in Kentucky… instead of on protection for those five other seats.
7 Anony Mouse // Apr 8, 2008 at 9:03 pm
If Horne had stayed in, at least the race would have been fun. He wouldn’t have been afraid to go after Mitch.
8 winstnsmth // Apr 8, 2008 at 9:08 pm
From what I’ve witnessed, Obama is dominating Louisville. Either that, or Clinton’s supporters are extremely passive. I don’t dispute the Appalachia effect though.
But how could anyone say the wave has hit high tide? Obviously it was a jab and not an argument: Typical of winger propaganda. And even if it has hit high tide, we’re just now seeing the beginning of the storm surge that happens every time McCain claims Iran is training Al-Qaeda (5 times and counting, including today’s questioning of Gen. Petraeus). The guy running for president doesn’t have even an 8th grade understanding of Shia vs. Sunni.
9 winstnsmth // Apr 8, 2008 at 9:17 pm
P.S. I live next door to Clinton’s HQ in the Highlands, and I don’t think anyone even showed up today.
10 jake // Apr 8, 2008 at 9:29 pm
winstn: That’s probably because it’s a campaign finance violation like woah.
11 Steve Bittenbender // Apr 8, 2008 at 10:50 pm
winstn,
P-O noted at the bottom of its survey that they only surveyed “frequent” voters. By frequent, they mean people who have voted in three of the last five elections. They acknowledge it could taint the survey results.
So the 45-40 result for Clinton in the 3rd District is misleading. The 70-9 advantage for Hillary in the 5th, however, is a different story.
What the results also tell us is this — we shouldn’t expect many Presidential candidate visits after the primary. Unless the candidates are flying into Covington for a stop in Cincinnati.
12 3CardNana // Apr 9, 2008 at 8:47 am
Right winstn, because those weapons they found originating in Iran and the Iranian special forces troops were just figments of our imaginations…
13 jake // Apr 9, 2008 at 9:15 am
Right, and McCain knows what he’s talking about because he’s confused Shiites with Sunnis two days in a row?
Iraq is all puppies and rainbows!
14 winstnsmth // Apr 9, 2008 at 10:03 am
@ comment # 10
Huh? You’re saying that opening the Hillary campaign headquarters is a campaign finance violation? Are you sure you’re responding to the right comments?
I made two points
• McCain has called Al-Qaeda a Shia group on 5 different occasions.
• Anectdotal support for Hillary is nonexistent.
15 jake // Apr 9, 2008 at 10:13 am
If you’re talking about the Hillary crew at 1357 Bardstown Road, then yes. Absolutely.
16 winstnsmth // Apr 9, 2008 at 10:39 am
Doh! I missed that story.
But hasn’t the damage already been done? Doesn’t seem like much of a distinction to me whether they used the space one time or every day until May 20, it’s the same hot water.
I suppose having a dated lease agreement could prove the Clinton campaign intended to rent the space. But one thing is for sure, if the Clinton campaign is renting the space, no one is going to pay the bill, ever.
17 anonymous // Apr 9, 2008 at 10:42 am
Jake, you may not have said so, but a lot of people thought Horne was a lock to beat McConnell.
Don’t get me wrong — I’m no great McConnell fan, especially over what has transpired the last four years in Kentucky regarding McConnell’s protege Fletcher. You don’t just pull the rug out from someone when they come under attack. If you are any kind of friend or mentor, you come to their aid and fire your big guns if needed. McConnell didn’t, and I for one will never forget that. I’m not saying that I will vote for Lunsford, and darn sure would not have voted for Horne, but I might not vote for McConnell either. Might leave that one blank or write in someone.
18 .... // Apr 9, 2008 at 10:48 am
I have heard that in Louisville Obama supporters dominated the precinct meetings on Saturday and they were all new to politics. If that is any indication of vote turnout her will be strong in the 3rd Disctrict.
If Horne was the nominee come November a good showing for McCain would have helped him. Statewide Kentuckians are patriots and will support a veteran. The party insiders who backed Lunsford and limosine liberals who either backed Fischer or who were going to sit on the sidelines because of their social connections to Fischer and Christy Brown are to blame.
19 .... // Apr 9, 2008 at 10:52 am
anonymous,
Anyone who thought Horne was a lock against McConnell is crazy. But he would have given him a number of problems and might have beat him.
20 tom k // Apr 9, 2008 at 11:12 am
Barack Obama will get beat bad in Kentucky by Hillary Clinton.
God Damn America and United States of White America will not impress many rural and patriotic Kentuckians. It may not bother the intellectual and far left liberal types, but average Joe does not relate to that type of message from their church or they would leave the church. Obama did not leave the church and he will pay the price in Kentucky and in the general election if he wins the nomination.
Seems like democrats want to go back to nominations like they had in the 70s and 80s.
21 jake // Apr 9, 2008 at 11:16 am
tom k: Hillary was waaaay ahead of Obama in Kentucky well before the Rev. Wright story hit the airwaves.
Hillary will win Kentucky because of the network she has had in place for decades. Jerry Lundergan, Greg Stumbo, most of the State House, et al. Not because Obama had a batshit insane minister who once called some white folks racist or whatever.
22 Steve Magruder (I, not D or R) // Apr 9, 2008 at 1:05 pm
So, it’s unpatriotic to support a non-veteran, but who did many positive things for public service anyway? Not in my America.
23 Steve Magruder (I, not D or R) // Apr 9, 2008 at 1:07 pm
My last response was regarding 10:48.
24 .... // Apr 10, 2008 at 4:17 pm
Steve,
I didn’t say Kentuckians would ONLY support a veteran but McCain running bio ads touting the virtues of military service in war would definately help Horne. Both candidates being equal being a vet helps out in the state. Some would say it hurts in parts of Louisville.
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