Taking Bets: How Badly Will Dems Screw Up?

Now that the Democratic Party has a strong advantage over Republicans when it comes to swing voters – and now that fewer people identify as Republican – how long will it take the Dems to throw it all away? How long will it take for the average democratic voter to recognize that their support is wholly taken for granted?

From the Pew Research Center:

The balance of party identification in the American electorate now favors the Democratic Party by a decidedly larger margin than in either of the two previous presidential election cycles.

In 5,566 interviews with registered voters conducted by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press during the first two months of 2008, 36% identify themselves as Democrats, and just 27% as Republicans.

The share of voters who call themselves Republicans has declined by six points since 2004, and represents, on an annualized basis, the lowest percentage of self-identified Republican voters in 16 years of polling by the Center.

The Democratic Party has also built a substantial edge among independent voters. Of the 37% who claim no party identification, 15% lean Democratic, 10% lean Republican, and 12% have no leaning either way.